Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.082097 1.219839 1.370107 1.546487 1.748194 1.972068 2.239926
2026-01-04 0.895897 1.083297 1.304038 1.584373 1.932513 2.352699 2.901355
2026-01-11 0.767250 0.982169 1.251729 1.617189 2.103626 2.734220 3.622363
2026-01-18 0.668593 0.897666 1.200552 1.634680 2.248027 3.094170 4.368213
2026-01-25 0.580548 0.811464 1.130773 1.610774 2.324840 3.364965 5.026394
2026-02-01 0.498672 0.721250 1.041006 1.541780 2.320830 3.510875 5.513687
2026-02-08 0.438750 0.654337 0.974881 1.495899 2.340267 3.687849 6.068669
2026-02-15 0.392614 0.602098 0.923506 1.464090 2.373964 3.886649 6.684149
2026-02-22 0.370359 0.583853 0.921774 1.509858 2.538049 4.319598 7.771686
2026-03-01 0.344841 0.557304 0.903192 1.524110 2.648156 4.671422 8.765598
2026-03-08 0.313936 0.518559 0.860049 1.490158 2.666778 4.858279 9.470085
2026-03-15 0.286163 0.482333 0.817337 1.451530 2.670709 5.015798 10.137855
2026-03-22 0.275160 0.475131 0.826183 1.511618 2.876572 5.607254 11.850587
2026-03-29 0.261614 0.462163 0.823547 1.550227 3.046990 6.156937 13.590662
2026-04-05 0.248460 0.448570 0.818282 1.583030 3.210433 6.718714 15.478306
2026-04-12 0.234643 0.432325 0.806204 1.600463 3.343740 7.236192 17.371006
2026-04-19 0.217572 0.408189 0.776316 1.577262 3.384862 7.551466 18.823153
2026-04-26 0.197568 0.376493 0.728337 1.509909 3.317170 7.600912 19.587576
2026-05-03 0.181862 0.351985 0.692600 1.465099 3.295521 7.758157 20.681270
2026-05-10 0.168974 0.332075 0.664483 1.434022 3.302222 7.986986 22.029443
2026-05-17 0.164039 0.328114 0.669450 1.478760 3.499970 8.738648 25.094726
2026-05-24 0.156793 0.318640 0.661643 1.492691 3.622408 9.311731 27.754874
2026-05-31 0.146355 0.301458 0.635385 1.459510 3.618621 9.538418 29.363180